机器人运动时变可靠性研究综述

A Review on Time-Dependent Reliability Research in Robotic Motion

  • 摘要: 随着工业4.0与智能制造的不断推进,机器人系统在工业自动化场景中的应用日益广泛,其运动精度与运行可靠性对保障生产效率与操作安全具有重要意义。相比传统机械系统,机器人在执行复杂任务过程中面临多源不确定性和随时间变化的结构退化问题,从而使其可靠性表现出明显的时变特性。本文围绕机器人运动的时变可靠性展开综述,系统梳理了该领域的研究现状与技术进展。首先,介绍了机器人系统中固有不确定性与认知不确定性的主要类型及其对运动误差的影响;其次,总结了基于D-H 法、动力学建模及多源误差分析的机器人系统典型建模策略;随后,分析了数值模拟法、理论分析法、代理模型法等时变可靠性求解方法的适用范围与计算特性;最后,探讨了机器人时变可靠性研究中的挑战与发展趋势。

     

    Abstract: With the continuous advancement of Industry 4.0 and intelligent manufacturing, robotic systems are increasingly applied in industrial automation scenarios, where their motion accuracy and operational reliability are crucial to ensuring production efficiency and operational safety. Compared to traditional mechanical systems, robots are subject to multiple uncertainties and time-dependent structural degradation during complex task execution, leading to distinct time-dependent reliability behavior. This paper provides a comprehensive review of time-dependent reliability in robotic motion, systematically summarizing the current research progress and key technologies in this field. The study first categorizes inherent and epistemic uncertainties in robotic systems and their effects on motion errors. It then outlines typical modeling strategies based on the Denavit–Hartenberg (D-H) method, dynamic modeling, and multi-source error analysis. Furthermore, the paper compares mainstream reliability solution methods—such as numerical simulation, theoretical analysis, and surrogate modeling—in terms of applicability and computational efficiency. Finally, key challenges and future directions in time-dependent reliability research for robotic systems are discussed.

     

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